The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Imprbable 豆 8.0分

资源最后更新于 2020-08-26 06:43:29

作者：[美] 纳西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布

出版社：Random House

出版日期：2007-01

ISBN：9781400063512

文件格式： pdf

标签： 金融 思维 思想 经济 社会学 投资 经济学 finance

简介· · · · · ·

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.

The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything abo...